SIGCOR-060 · NEW D119 · MAY 2, 2026
IRGC Formally States War Likely — Fully Prepared — Pre-Resumption Posture Confirmed
IRGC military arm stated war resumption is "likely" and declared full preparation for any US action. IRGC intelligence: room for US decision "has narrowed." Both military establishments in active pre-resumption posture. Oil floor rising. MENA capital flight accelerating.
SIGCOR-059 · NEW D117 · APR 30, 2026
War Powers Terminated Letter — Legal Contradiction — Blockade Continues — Unprecedented US Presidential Claim
Trump claims hostilities "terminated" while maintaining blockade and briefing military strike options. Legal architecture unprecedented. If war resumes under this framework: no congressional authorization required. Oil elevated through Oct 2026. Structural floor confirmed.
SIGCOR-058 · D117 · APR 30, 2026
Dark Eagle Hypersonic Deployment Requested — Untested System — Iran Repositioned Beyond PrSM Range
CENTCOM formally requested deployment of untested Dark Eagle hypersonic weapon. Iran repositioned surviving ballistic missile launchers beyond 300nm US precision strike range. First combat deployment request. If authorized: explicit signal of military phase resumption within 72-96 hours.
SIGCOR-057 · D116 · APR 29, 2026
IAEA Isfahan HEU 440kg — Material Must Leave Iran — Russia HEU Transfer Logistics Active
IAEA confirmed 440 kg of 60% enriched uranium at Isfahan nuclear complex. "What is going to be important is that material leaves Iran." IAEA discussing HEU transfer with Russia. Complex operation requiring political agreement or US military operation. Specific nuclear deal pathway confirmed.
SIGCOR-GEO-ENERGY-001 · ONGOING
Hormuz Total Closure — Brent Structural Floor — 6-Month Mine Clearance — Kpler 8-18 Days to Well Closure
Hormuz total closure since Feb 28. Pentagon confirmed 6 months to clear mines. Kpler analytics: Iran oil wells face permanent closure May 9-19. Brent floor: $107-126 range. Mine clearance alone locks in elevated energy costs through October 2026 midterms regardless of any deal.
SIGCOR-049 · ONGOING · HIGHEST CONFIDENCE
Pentagon 6-Month Mine Sweep — Structural Oil Floor — Elevated Through November Midterms — Capital Flow Durable
Pentagon classified briefing to Congress: 6 months to clear Hormuz mines regardless of diplomatic outcome. This structural floor signal was detected by Signal Command 14 days before the Pentagon disclosed it to Congress. Oil prices elevated through November 2026 midterm elections minimum. Capital rotation window durable.